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3 clinics across Leura, Springwood
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A Model or Reality?

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Our Personal Experience - Our Unique Situation

Winter

We have all found ourselves in a unique situation over the last 4 months. Was it warranted, and where to next, based on what we now know? 

It is the beginning of winter this week! Yikes!! Where did the first half of the year go?  

I suspect that your answer to that will depend on whether you have been counting the days while under “house arrest”, or you have been enjoying a relatively normal life. I have been very lucky, in that my routine has been pretty much as normal.  

I have ended up “working from home,” as I have moved the Leura practice to my home address and I am pleasantly surprised to say that I am enjoying the change. I am blessed because I also had the routine of going to Springwood and the Hills locations, and that provided much needed variety in my day. I am here to serve, so I believe that I can do that to the highest level by making myself available to more people at more locations. 

What is your Decision-Making Process? 

Choice

I have to thank both parents for the gift of a good brain. From my father I have the delight in learning new things and looking at facts from many different angles. From my mother I get the ability to take the information and then turn it into a logical course of action. This is a wonderful skill set for clinical reasoning and solving weird problems.  

I have always based my clinical decisions on anatomy and physiology. This is the truth of how the body works. The history or narrative will give the magical unlock code to steer a body back to healing and health. That is, what is the primary area needing help and support? 

I work on data - I could get into all sorts of professional trouble if I based my treatment decisions on guesses as to what might be happening. This is common in all health practice. As I look at colleagues in other areas of health delivery I find that data and investigation must take place before treatment decisions can take place. 

No Hard Data - What then? 

Before we get all the test results what do we do? In a health setting, I will assess the body and do a "first aid" type of adjustment. A GP or A&E doctor will decide that there is an infection that must be addressed, so an oral or IV antibiotic will be administered to reduce the severity of the case until tests come back to allow a more tailored solution.  

What about public health? How do we make a policy decision before we have all the infection information - (how infective and who gets sick and how serious the infection is)?   We go to someone for an educated guess. In the era of the computer, specialist computer program writers will run calculations based on a number of assumptions. 

Previously we asked people with experience in an area and they would articulate a number of variable likely outcomes based on a number of different assumed numbers. The expert would explain how they got to the starting values and what happens when they interact. 

The computer model is often so clever and complicated it is difficult to explain what the code in the program is doing to arrive at a final answer. This means that we just see the answers not the working. 

Anyone who has failed miserably at maths, as I have in the past, will know that putting the wrong numbers in the equation gives a very wrong answer. Too bad if you used the wrong formula or all the numbers in the right equation were wrong! 

Professor Neil Ferguson of the Imperial College London is an epidemiologist whose model for the spread of the COVID-19 infection and the likely deaths had a significant influence on how governments around the world responded. All computer models by their nature rely on assumptions. If there are a number of assumptions, and they all turn out to be inaccurate, then decisions made on the model data will be hard to justify. It is now evident that the projections of the Imperial College disease model were flawed. 

Amusingly, he recently resigned after being sprung breaking lock-down. He wasn't as worried about the situation as he told us we should be. He may well have been right to not be so worried, as the computer projections of the team he led turned out to be over 80% wrong. 

Informed decisions

Let's Make it Personal

So what should we all be doing as individuals? We all were told to do certain things based on a model that we now know was hopelessly wrong. It was evident that the infection projections were questionable in early April. The risk was over estimated. We can begin to relax. 

So, back to what to do now with all the collected data about this infection. I note that COVID-19 is widely referred to as a disease, rather than an infection. A disease carries with it a more serious connotation, often permanent, and infection is something that is transitory. We generally don’t call the flu or a cold a disease, rather just an infection. The dictionary defines disease (literally a lack of ease) as a disorder of structure or function. It could be argued that when the infection is severe, it will lead to a change in function. 

Who is dying? The simplicity of the age band, over 65 years of age, is true but also not true. What is characteristic of that age group is their daily use of prescription drugs. So what the death certificates tell us is that high blood pressure, heart disease, diabetes, obesity and respiratory disease are all amplifiers of the impact of this virus. 

Oh Dear, They're Talking About Me!

I think it's about me

What do you do if you are one of those people on daily medications? In a great majority of cases these conditions will respond very positively to changes in lifestyle. 

The research I have read tells us that blood pressure will drop significantly with regular exercise. This is a very doable thing. In my experience men will get a much greater response from a drop in body weight, particularly waist measurement.  

Type 2 diabetes can be reversed with a change in pantry and exercise. There is lots of research and clinical data that make this a certain outcome, not a likely outcome. 

Falling Risk Factors - Could You Do it?

Sometimes we don't know our risk

If you could make 2 changes in your daily life that meant that you came off 2 medications then your risk factors fall like a brick out a window. You go from "quite likely to die from COVID-19" to a day in bed with the flu. 

I can hear you saying that young people are dying, and they were healthy! Sorry to burst your bubble - those thorough Germans did postmortems on the first 12 patients who died from COVID-19 and found that 58% of them had other conditions that contributed to their death.  

It should be noted that across the world there have been very few postmortems of those who died, which means that there is a certain amount of guessing as to the actual cause of death.  

The CDC, (Centre for Disease Control in the US) has instructed doctors to list the cause of death as COVID-19 regardless of the circumstances if the individual tests positive to the virus. There are also additional payments to hospitals if the cause of death is COVID-19. This will inflate the fatality rate. So did you die from COVID-19 or with COVID-19?

Died with, died from, what's the difference. Well you did die in each case, so does it matter? Very much so for determining actual risk of dying from COVID-19. 

Let's make it real. A person is killed in a car accident. During the postmortum a COVID-19 test is undertaken and tests positive. This individual died with COVID-19 not from COVID-19. Another individual with multiple severe health issues goes to hospital with a bad chest infection that progresses to pneumonia and dies. They test positive to COVID-19. That infection triggered another infection and they died from COVID-19. 

The death rate is not that high from the reported data, with the inclusions of those who may not have actually died from COVID-19. Any increase in the numbers by including those who are a WITH in the count will inflate the calculated risk. You get to worry more.

Let's Be Specific 

This subtle distinction is important for assessing risk to the general population. The data is now beyond argument that those who died from/with COVID-19 had 3 serious health issues at the time of contracting the infection. The vital piece of this health picture is that most of these individuals were taking drugs that gave the appearance of health. The body is not healthy in its own right. The pharmaceutical drugs manipulate the physiology to give healthy readings: normal blood sugar levels; ideal range blood pressure; lung function in normal range.  

The general best practice in medicine understands that various conditions lead to more serious health outcomes if not treated. So to protect the heart a blood pressure medication, a statin drug and a blood sugar modulator are prescribed. This is the precise profile in which the COVID-19 virus causes the greatest serious complications. What can you do if you are one of the individuals that can tick the boxes on these medications?

Dr Gundry has shown beyond a doubt that changes in diet and activity WILL change your actual heart health. Don’t rely on what I say. Check out his information. He is a heart specialist of some nearly 40 years, so I guess that he knows what he is talking about.  

Most of Us Don't Know How Powerful We Are

You are stronger than you think

I want to leave you with a positive and empowered feeling. There is always a balance between 2 pains: the pain of change and the pain of something that is much worse and unwanted. My belief is that many who are in the high risk groups will feel motivated to enquire as to whether it is possible to change health conditions that have been declared as fixed. 

We know that almost anything is possible when the wish and desire is sufficient. The work of Dr Bruce Lipton and Dr Joe Dispenza both show that the body has remarkable power to change when we believe that it can change.  

When we want something badly enough, then it is easy to take the necessary steps to get to the other side of the result that we want. There is certainly a palpable feeling of fear of dying out in the community. The answer is not necessarily in the form of a vaccine.

The vaccines developed to date for the Coronavirus family had great initial results with excellent antibody production. Sadly, when the vaccinated ferrets became infected with the actual virus, the body had a paradoxical response - a severe inflammatory reaction - and a majority of the ferrets died in the animal trial. I have not read research that had a more hopeful result in human trials. It is concerning that in the rush to get the solution vaccine to market we have jumped the animal studies and gone straight to human trials. The leading trial has excluded the very people who are at greatest risk. That suggests that there is a risk of an unexpected result that the high risk individuals may experience. 

If this is the case, I believe that it gives each of us more reason to work on our health status. We cannot do nothing and trust that there will be a medical solution that will protect us, however we can take control and make change so we move out of the high risk group.  

RECAP

Did I say recat?

We cannot do nothing and trust that there will be a medical solution that will protect us. This particular infection is showing that when the individual has a number of disease conditions then the likelihood of an infection progressing to a more serious case is quite high.  

So here is your blog post recap

  1. Get personalised advice regarding your diet.  
  2. Get advise regarding an exercise program that will support optimal health. 
  3. Understand your personal risk profile. What does your medical practitioner say and what would a Hands on Superhealth Exam show? The HOS process lets your body reveal what the primary areas of concern are right now. 
  4. Set a program to enact your survival plan.